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Food Scarcity Unavoidable by 2100 ? Presentation of the Book
Weiler, Raoul A. Demuynck, Kris
Weiler, Raoul A.
Demuynck, Kris
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Abstract
This publication gives an overview of work in progress and applies some original tools to analyze the food situation in the current century on the terrestrial planet. First. For a better description the Climate Classification System from Wladimir Köppen and Rudolf Geiger is applied. This climate system has been developed more than a century ago but has been updated with satellite observations of the last decades. It has the considerable advantage to address climate phenomena independently from national borders and countries. The climate zones are well defined with threshold values for temperature and precipitation, allowing precise boundaries of territories and the evolution over time due to climate change. It provides a strong framework for agriculture purposes. This approach is distinct from usually defined borders based on juristic applied by international organizations. It is much closer to climate change phenomena and therefore more appropriate to the objectives of this research. Some 25 climate zones are used in this publication, covering some 150 countries and five continents. Small islands are included in neighboring zones, simplifying the further analyses. To larger countries several climate zones are attributed. The countries are linked to their continent, providing a very useful cross reference. Second. The application of the New Science of Networks allows to visualize correlations between climate zones, continents and countries and essential food components such as crops: wheat, rice, maize and meat species: beef, pigs, poultry, sheep/goats, and the basic resources for their production : land for agriculture and water-withdrawal for agriculture. The data are taken from the FAO Statistical Yearbook 2013.
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Preprint
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2017-03-24
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With permission of the license/copyright holder