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Winners and losers of early elections: On the welfare implications of political blockades and early elections
Bierbrauer, Felix Mechtenberg, Lydia
Bierbrauer, Felix
Mechtenberg, Lydia
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Abstract
We develop a dynamic model of political competition. Each party has a policy motivated ideological wing and an office-motivated opportunistic wing. A blockade arises if inner-party conflict stops policy implementation. We use this model to study whether early elections should be used to overcome a blockade. They have the advantage that urgent decisions are no longer delayed, and the disadvantage that unsuccessful governments gain additional time in office. This may give rise to a time inconsistency. Voters are in favour of a constitution without early elections. However, in the middle of a political crisis, they are willing to abandon it.
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Preprint
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2008
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With permission of the license/copyright holder